Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.002133 0.002243 0.002359 0.002492 0.002639 0.002799 0.002987
2025-05-18 0.001983 0.002138 0.002311 0.002518 0.002765 0.003052 0.003418
2025-05-25 0.001852 0.002032 0.002239 0.002499 0.002823 0.003223 0.003774
2025-06-01 0.001740 0.001934 0.002163 0.002458 0.002841 0.003339 0.004069
2025-06-08 0.001692 0.001905 0.002161 0.002505 0.002969 0.003607 0.004621
2025-06-15 0.001643 0.001869 0.002147 0.002530 0.003067 0.003843 0.005177
2025-06-22 0.001578 0.001808 0.002096 0.002499 0.003081 0.003955 0.005554
2025-06-29 0.001517 0.001747 0.002039 0.002456 0.003070 0.004025 0.005871
2025-07-06 0.001469 0.001702 0.002000 0.002432 0.003085 0.004134 0.006292
2025-07-13 0.001395 0.001618 0.001907 0.002325 0.002962 0.003998 0.006171
2025-07-20 0.001361 0.001586 0.001880 0.002313 0.002985 0.004112 0.006628
2025-07-27 0.001344 0.001575 0.001881 0.002340 0.003071 0.004353 0.007472
2025-08-03 0.001314 0.001547 0.001859 0.002333 0.003106 0.004511 0.008213
2025-08-10 0.001300 0.001541 0.001867 0.002373 0.003223 0.004852 0.009728
2025-08-17 0.001272 0.001514 0.001844 0.002362 0.003250 0.005016 0.010819
2025-08-24 0.001239 0.001479 0.001807 0.002327 0.003232 0.005078 0.011593
2025-08-31 0.001231 0.001477 0.001818 0.002370 0.003359 0.005500 0.014560
2025-09-07 0.001217 0.001467 0.001817 0.002393 0.003451 0.005865 0.018204
2025-09-14 0.001191 0.001438 0.001788 0.002365 0.003442 0.005966 0.020415
2025-09-21 0.001163 0.001407 0.001752 0.002326 0.003407 0.005991 0.022149
2025-09-28 0.001141 0.001383 0.001728 0.002305 0.003406 0.006111 0.025525
2025-10-05 0.001100 0.001332 0.001661 0.002208 0.003244 0.005741 0.022045
2025-10-12 0.001083 0.001314 0.001644 0.002197 0.003257 0.005891 0.025925